Week 10 DraftKings DFS Lineup Advice

Let’s jump right in to our Week 10 DraftKings DFS lineup review! While this focuses on DraftKings, I also share the FanDuel prices as well and discuss any noticeable differences in price.

Who Should I Start at Quarterback in Week 10?

Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers

$7,600 DK, $9,000 FD

Over/Under 49 Packers – 2.5

Expected Ownership: 18%

Rodgers continues to be one of the safest quarterbacks in the 2016 NFL DFS season. The Packers have no run game even with James Starks set to return this week. Randall Cobb is expected to be back this week along with Ty Mongtomery, so that will only boost the value of Rodgers this week. This game also has sneaky shoot out potential as the Tennessee Titans have been involved in some high scoring games over the last several weeks. Over their last six games, there has been an average of over 57 points scored between both teams. If this game is going to become a track meet, Rodgers should have a field day against the sub-par secondary of the Titans.

Tom Brady, New England Patriots

$7,400 DK, $8,300 FD

Over/Under 48.5 Patriots – 7.5

Expected Ownership: 10%

Just so we’re all on the same page, I am a Tom Brady hater and the New England Patriots are my least favorite team in the NFL. To date, I don’t know if I have ever written about Brady in the past four seasons that I’ve been doing this (don’t fact check me). Anyway, Tom Brady is one of my favorite tournament plays this week as the Pats are at home against the Seattle Seahawks. I think the Seahawk’s reputation could make Brady’s ownership under 10%. That being said, Brady has thrown for at least 300 yards and three touchdowns in three of his four games this season. I think this is a spot where Brady could go nuts and if he’s going to be under owned, then he’s almost a must play. Especially, in GPPs.

Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers

$6,800 DK, $7,700 FD

Over/Under 50 Steelers – 2.5

Expected Ownership: 12%

If I’m not playing Brady in tournamentsin Week 10, then Big Ben is my guy. Everyone loves to talk about Drew Brees’ home vs. road splits, but Roethlisberger actually has the most extreme home vs. road splits in the NFL. He gets a home game this week against the Dallas Cowboys with an Over/Under (50) that has already been bet up to the highest of the slate. Roethlisberger and company are fully in play for Week 10.

Who Should I Start at Running Back in Week 10?

David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals

$8,400 DK, $9,400 FD

Over/Under 48.5 Cardinals – 13.5

Expected Ownership: 45%

Johnson is going to be the highest owned player in Week 10 and he should be. He is in the nuts spot against the San Francisco 49ers, who have been gashed by running backs all season long. The Niners are dead last in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to opposing RBs, and it isn’t even close. Johnson is arguably the best running back in Fantasy Football right now and he checks all the boxes here. He is a home favorite going against the worst run defense in the NFL. Don’t overthink this one.

Melvin Gordon, San Diego Chargers

$7,100 DK, $8,300 FD

Over/Under 48 Chargers – 3.5

Expected Ownership: 18%

It was pretty funny to see the attitude about Gordon change from last season to this season. When he first started scoring touchdowns, people were acting like it was John Kuhn out there scoring. However, as the season progressed, slowly but surely, people were starting to realize that Melvin Gordon is the real deal. Over the past three weeks, Gordon is averaging 32.5 DraftKings points and six targets per game. He is seeing a massive usage and has been putting up numbers with the uptick in volume. He is a home favorite this week against a defense that is bottom half in DVOA vs. the run.

DeMarco Murray, Tennessee Titans

$6,900 DK $7,400 FD

Over/Under 48.5 Packers – 2.5

Expected Ownership: 10%

Murray continues to be one of the most consistent Fantasy running backs this season. He has only posted one game so far with less than 21 DraftKings points. He should see less ownership as Green Bay has one of the top run defenses in the NFL. That being said, this game has one of the highest Over/Unders, and Murray is heavily involved in the passing game, which always is a bonus. If this game shoots out, Murray should benefit from extra work in the passing game.

Who Should I Start at Wide Receiver in Week 10?

Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

$9,000 DK, $8,500 FD

Over/Under 45 Buccaneers – 1

Expected Ownership: 15%

Evans is having a monster season and he should continue to see loads of targets being funneled his way. Evans cleared concussion protocol and practiced in full, so there is no reason to worry about him missing this one against the Chicago Bears. Evans is coming off a monster 11-150-2 line and has seen 41 targets over his last three games. For the icing on the cake, the Bears rank in the bottom 10 in DVOA vs WR1s this season.

Antonio Brown, Pittsburgh Steelers

$8,900 DK, $8,600 FD

Over/Under 50 Steelers – 2.5

Expected Ownership: 12%

Brown’s production was hurt the most without Big Ben under center, but now Ben is back. Better yet, the Steelers are at home. Brown has only had two games under 21 DraftKings points this season, even with the quarterback problems in Pittsburgh. AB should get back to the big numbers he was putting up in the beginning of the season.

Jordan Matthews, Philadelphia Eagles

$5,900 DK $5,900 FD

Over/Under 50 Eagles – 1

Expected Ownership: 13%

Matthews is finally starting to be treated like the number one pass catcher in Philadelphia. He has 25 targets over the past two games and is in a good spot this week at home against the Atlanta Falcons. Aside from Desmund Trufant, the Falcons do not have much in terms of pass coverage. This game is also tied for the highest Over/Under of Week 10. Matthews is underpriced and is an elite play in all formats.

Who Should I Start at Tight End in Week 10?

Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers

$3,900 DK, $5,700 FD

Over/Under 48 Chargers – 3.5

Expected Ownership: 15%

Gates is literally the only TE that I’m looking for both cash and GPPs this week. With not many good spots for tight ends this week, Gates provides the safest floor and also has a decent ceiling with his usage as a red-zone target. The veteran tight end has been targeted 16 times so far in the red zone. He is also a good leverage play off Gordon.

My Core:

Brady/Ben

Gordon/DJ/Murray

Evans/AB/Matthews

Gates

My Top Stacks for Week 10 DFS:

Aaron Rodgers + Jordy Nelson

Aaron Rodgers + Jordy Nelson + DeMarco Murray

Big Ben + Antonio Brown

Sample Tournament Lineups for Week 10 DFS

For tournaments, I am a multi-entry player so I am not afraid to get exposure to some players that may seem risky but with upside. If you’re only playing one tournament lineup, be aware that some of these plays may not fit the single-entry formats.

Tournament Lineup Remaining Salary $500

QB Ben Roethlisberger $6,800

RB David Johnson $8,400

RB Darren Sproles $4,300

WR Dontrelle Inman $3,400

WR Antonio Brown $8,900

WR Jordan Matthews $5,900

TE Antonio Gates $3,900

FLEX Rishard Matthews $4,200

D/ST Arizona Cardinals $3,700

Best of luck this week everyone. If you want to discuss plays and strategy, hit me up on twitter @jon_Kelly_ . Also, if you use my lineup to win some money then tweet at me with a screenshot and let me know!

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Categories: 2016 Fantasy Football DFS, Fantasy Football

Tags: , , ,

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