As you know by now, Arian Foster is no longer a member of the Houston Texans.
The Texans moved on from the 29-year old back even though there is no clear successor. There will either be some type of committee in Houston next year with Alfred Blue and Jonathan Grimes, and it’s possible that Houston will add a back through the 2016 NFL Draft.
The running back situation in Houston is a little vague right now, but you can say the same thing about the future of Foster.
When he’s on the field, he’s one of the most productive backs in the game. The key word is when he is on the field. Foster only has two 16-game seasons under his belt, and he’s appeared in eight or fewer games in two out of the last three seasons.
But, can Foster recover quick enough from his torn Achilles to be an effective back on a different team in 2016 Fantasy Football leagues?
Arian Foster Hype Train has Started for 2016
If you visit FantasyFootballCalculator.com, Foster is already being drafted in Round 5.
Obviously, that makes absolutely no sense for three reasons:
1. We have no idea when he will be ready to play
2. He isn’t even on a team
3. He’s going to turn 30 before the start of the 2016 NFL season
Let’s look at the first reason. Foster is reportedly ahead of schedule, but that doesn’t mean anything right now. He could face setbacks, and you don’t want to have him stuck on your bench for weeks on end.
I would much rather spend a fifth-round pick on Jeremy Hill, as he has much more upside even though he disappointed Fantasy players (myself included) last season.
The second reason you don’t even want to look at Foster right now is because he isn’t on a team. The Seattle Seahawks and Buffalo Bills may have interest in him according to the ESPN article referenced earlier, but those teams may only use him as a veteran presence. Foster is not going to get 351 carries again like he did in 2012, so his production is going to be limited no matter who he signs with.
Even if he does sign with a team that wants to try and make him the focal point of the offense, how well can he hold up? He’s almost 30, and Foster has dealt with everything from a heart arrhythmia to a herniated disc since 2012.
I’m sure as soon as he signs with any team, Foster’s ADP is going to skyrocket into Round 4.
I’ll have more detailed articles as the season approaches about this running back, but please don’t be into the hype for the 2016 Fantasy Football season.