Ryan Tannehill Getting Second Opinion

The Miami Dolphins were afraid they lost quarterback Ryan Tannehill to an ACL tear Sunday night, but it appears he only sprained his ACL and MCL.

Right now, he doesn’t need to get surgery. He’s getting a second opinion on Tuesday to confirm he doesn’t need surgery.

I’ve been a Tannehill supporter for a few years. In 2015, I said Tannehill and Cam Newton could have been like Andrew Luck from 2014. What I meant by that was Newton and Tannehill were being drafted later, and they could have similar upside as Luck.

Newton worked out, but Tannehill still hasn’t been a reliable Fantasy starter.

I had to call it quits on Tannehill his year. There was still a piece of me that wanted to believe in him, but I had fade him.

He’s the 22nd-highest scoring quarterback in 2016 ESPN Fantasy Football leagues, so he still hasn’t lived up to his expectations.

For the offense, I think everyone is expecting a bigger workload for Jay Ajayi moving forward. Could Matt Moore go on a hot streak and shock everyone? Could we have a quarterback controversy between Tannehill and Moore next season?

Never say never. But I wouldn’t bet on it. I would place a bigger bet the 32-year old backup will just be asked to limit his mistakes than be a playmaker.

Looking ahead to 2017, I’m not even going to consider drafting Tannehill.

I assume a lot of other people are going to avoid him, but I keep seeing something surprising. I keep reading that Tannehill is having the best season of his career under Adam Gase.

I’m not sure how people are reaching that conclusion.

One of the reasons I thought Tannehill was promising in 2014 was because he had a completion percentage of 66.4%, threw the most touchdowns of his career (27), and he threw the fewest interceptions (12) of his career.

On top of that, he had the most passing yards of his career at the time.

He wasn’t able to drastically improve those numbers in 2015. He only threw 165 more passing yards, fewer touchdowns, and tied his interception total.

But you can tell from the stats below Tannehill wasn’t on track to be more productive in a number of categories.

Season Completions Attempts Completion % Passing Yards Touchdowns Interceptions
2012 282 484 58.30% 3,294 12 13
2013 355 588 60.40% 3,913 24 17
2014 392 590 66.40% 4,045 27 12
2015 364 587 62% 4,210 24 12
2016 261 389 67.10% 2,995 19 12

Tannehill is only averaging 230.4 passing yards per game, the lowest of his career since his rookie season in 2012. He’s thrown 12 interceptions, which ties his totals from 2014 and 2015.

I would say the odds were pretty high Tannehill would throw at least one more interception between  Weeks 14-16 if he was healthy.

That would have given him the most interceptions of his career since 2013.

The argument you can make for Tannehill having a better season is his completion percentage.

But that completion percentage hasn’t translated to more consistent Fantasy production. The 28-year old quarterback only has two games of 300 or more passing yards after recording six last season.

He’s also lost three fumbles, which is more than 2015.

Tannehill’s rushing yards have also decreased.

If we don’t see Tannehill again for the 2016 NFL season, just remember all of this before your 2017 Fantasy Football draft. Because right now, I can see Tannehill continue to get praise for his 2016 season.

I’ll be sharing updates throughout the 2016 Fantasy Football playoffs about my fighting for a $50,000 grand prize in Scout’s Online Championship.

If you have any questions about your team, feel free to hit me up on Twitter. Also, feel free to send me an email for a more detailed response.

 

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Categories: Fantasy Football

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